New Horizons Probe to Explore Uncharted Territory in 2015

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Launched in January 2006, the New Horizons probe will be the first to explore the binary system of Pluto-Charon, making it the fifth probe to traverse interplanetary space so far from the sun. After extensive study there, New Horizons will visit objects in the Kuiper Belt region beyond Neptune.

Charon's orbit is shown in green. Pluto's orbit is shown in red. This shows Pluto orbiting a point outside of itself, making Pluto-Charon a binary system.

Charon’s orbit is shown in green. Pluto’s orbit is shown in red. This shows Pluto orbiting a point outside of itself, making Pluto-Charon a binary system.

Pluto-Charon is described as a binary system since Charon, one of Pluto’s moons, is half the size of Pluto and the center of gravity which it orbits is outside of Pluto itself. Therefore, neither body truly orbits the other making them a binary system, meaning that each body orbits the same center of gravity. The New Horizons mission will mark the first opportunity to study such objects.

There are three zones that comprise the Solar System. First are the terrestrial planets, which are the four nearest to the sun, and are composed primarily of rock and metals. Second are the gas giants, which consist of the remaining four planets and are significantly more massive than the terrestrials. And the third is the Kuiper Belt, which is comprised of various celestial bodies that do not qualify as planets. This third region remains largely unexplored, but the New Horizons probe will be the first mission that’s been specifically designed to fill the knowledge gap regarding the Kuiper Belt.

The ice dwarfs in this region of the Solar System are “planetary embryos.” Their growth stopped at sizes much smaller than any of the other planets in the Solar System, which accumulated into these types of objects over long periods of time. The studies of New Horizons will provide much insight into planetary formation due to what is already known about the process.

It is also known that the Kuiper Belt is the source of many cometary impactors on Earth, most notably the impactor that caused the dinosaurs to go extinct. Through the study of craters on Pluto, its moons, and other Kuiper Belt objects, it will hopefully provide a better idea regarding how many threatening impactors currently exist.

New Horizons will also provide insights into Earth’s atmosphere in a unique way. Right now, the atmosphere on Pluto is escaping into space, and it is believed that Earth’s original atmosphere of hydrogen and helium was lost to space in a similar fashion. Therefore, whatever new information is learned about Pluto’s atmosphere will be enlightening about the evolution of Earth’s atmosphere.

Since 2005, four moons have been discovered aside from Charon that orbit Pluto. Two of these moons were discovered after New Horizons had already launched, and caused a great deal of initial fear. The Jet Propulsion Laboratory have been studying these discoveries, and have mostly completed their analysis: New Horizons should still be safe. The best models predict a 0.3 percent chance of critical impact, or a 1-in-300 chance.

New Horizons is expected to arrive at the Pluto-Charon system in July 2015. The overall cost of the mission is approximately 650 million USD, spread over 15 years, from 2001 to 2016.

JPL’s New Horizons “Why Go to Pluto?” page: http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/overview/whyGo.php

NASA’s New Horizons “Missions” page: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/newhorizons/main/index.html

“New Horizons: Encounter Planning Accelerates”: http://www.planetary.org/blogs/guest-blogs/2013/20130520-new-horizons-encounter-planning-accelerates.html

“Pluto’s seasons and what New Horizons may find when it passes by”: http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2013/05021212-plutos-seasons-new-horizons.html

To learn why New Horizons will be able to view Pluto with better detail than Hubble: http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2013/02141014-hubble-galaxy-pluto.html

What If?: NASA and the Budget Woes

NASA Fiscal Year 2014 Budget All Hands

(Photo Credit: NASA/Bill Ingalls)

Guest author Jeannette Remak is the founder of Phoenix Aviation Research. She is a military aviation historian, researcher and author. In addition to writing articles for the Atlantic Flyer and the Air Force Association, she’s also published a number of books including her most recent book, “NASA and the Shuttle Shuffle.” She is also an accomplished artist, with her paintings a part of the U.S. Air Force Art Collection

I think all of us out there play the game of “What if?” Our space program is currently going through a bad case of the “what ifs.” What if NASA doesn’t get more money for the budget? What if the Russians won’t accept the contract on the table for $70 million to train and haul our astronauts back and forth to the International Space Station? The biggest “what if” has to do with the 2014 budget for NASA. What if there just isn’t enough money to keep our manned spaceflight program alive or any other NASA program for that matter?

As we look around at other nations, including China, Japan, North Korea and Iran, they are all working on their space programs and sparing no expense in doing so. Yet, the United States is not. Sen. Barbara Mikulski of Maryland, one of the most powerful Democrats in the Senate, is asking a big “what if” concerning NASA’s 2014 budget and how to sustain the U.S. space program.

In a recent interview with Aviation Week, Sen. Mikulski said, “NASA’s mission faltering or sputtering really can blow the whole program.” Why is that? The 2014 budget allows for $17.7 billion in funding and NASA is hoping desperately that Congress might cut them some slack and award them something more substantial.

Artist concept of SLS launching (Photo Credit: NASA)

Artist concept of SLS launching (Photo Credit: NASA)

NASA is trying to build the Space Launch System, which is a heavy lift rocket that will allow us to leave low-Earth orbit and head the United States space program out towards the moon or an asteroid capture. Back in the days of the Apollo program, and partly to fulfill the legacy of beloved President John F. Kennedy, money flowed like water into the NASA coffers. We were able to build the magnificent Saturn V rocket that hurled us to the moon. Today, we struggle to complete the preliminary design work for the SLS. NASA would need a minimum of $800 million to allow competitors to stay in the race and build a possible commercial vehicle that would allow the United States to get to the ISS on our own without the help of the Russians. However, some in Congress would like to see some of those funds switched over to other programs like the SLS.

The poor logic to that move is that while we may have a heavy lift vehicle some day, the Ares I capsule that should have been aboard that heavy lift rocket has been canceled. What would we fly on that heavy lift vehicle? Should we continue to support the NASA Commercial Crew Program, which may one day provide us with a vehicle capable of getting astronauts to the ISS, but nothing more. Or should we direct those funds toward the Orion space capsule, which is designed to take astronauts beyond low-Earth orbit and into deep space. Looking back at how the Apollo program was directed, NASA held in their hands the money and the wherewithal to get to the moon. And yes, they got there on time!

The Space Shuttle Program, while a successful program in many respects, cost money to upkeep. Yet, money was reallocated from the safety program—as we found out after the Columbia disaster—to support the construction of the ISS. Just what sort of problem do we have here:

  • Is NASA unable to manage its money, leaving Congress reluctant to grant more?
  • Is NASA caught in the middle of pork barrel politics?
  • Is there mismanagement between Congress, NASA and the Bureau of Budgets?
The list could go on. However, what needs to happen is NASA needs to be allowed to restructure itself so that it can maintain the programs necessary to keep the United States in the forefront of space exploration. NASA is attempting to work with a “stone knives and bearskins” budget that allows them to only minimally maintain what programs they do have running. The budget doesn’t allow NASA much in the line of speculation or exploration. It doesn’t allow NASA to keep to the high standards it is used to. The Obama administration doesn’t seem to understand the need or nature of the U.S. manned space program, and that is putting this country in peril. There are sharks like North Korea and Iran, and they are circling the waters with heavy lift rockets for their fledging space programs, while the United States is nowhere near completing the SLS.

With an expanded budget, NASA would be able to bring their portfolio of missions back to a sustainable level. Our manned spaceflight program would be able to stand on its own once again. Instead of having to spend money to hitch a ride to the ISS, NASA would be able to control its own destiny in taking part in the ISS fully. NASA would once again be able to sustain the most important part of American history. NASA needs to be reestablished as the premier agency it once was and be able to sustain its robotic and research programs that allow it to go beyond the ISS and out into real space. Attention needs to be paid to raising the pittance of a budget that NASA is receiving, to allow it to dream and make those dreams a reality instead of wasting time scratching for every dime at budget time.

It is time to fund NASA reasonably and with thought to allow the United States to surpass every nation in space as we once did. We need to make space a priority again, and not just a backhanded thought.

NASA to Pay $70 Million a Seat to Fly Astronauts on Soyuz

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On July 8, 2011, Americans witnessed the launch of STS-135, the 135th and final mission of the Space Shuttle Program. Since the completion of the Space Shuttle Program, NASA has relied upon the Russian Space Agency, Roscosmos, for the launch and safe return of astronauts to and from the International Space Station aboard its Soyuz spacecraft. In spite of ISS operations being a collaborative effort between multiple space agencies around the world, it’s ironic that NASA — who is responsible for a large chunk of the funding and administration for the space station — has to rely upon an expensive Soyuz “taxi ride” in order to send American astronauts into space.

Empty status board in the Vehicle Assembly Building

Empty status board in the Vehicle Assembly Building

Hoping that an American-based commercial alternative would be available by 2015 under the Commercial Crew Program, NASA had an original contract with Roscosmos at roughly $62.7 million per seat aboard a Soyuz spacecraft. However, because of the failure on Congress’ part to fully fund the CCP at optimum levels, that goal has been made impossible. Still requiring a means to transport Americans to and from the ISS, on April 30, NASA was forced to extend that contract until 2017.

This extension also comes at a price. The price of one Soyuz seat now requires NASA to pay Roscosmos approximately $8 million more, at $70.7 million per seat. This deal effectively bought NASA six seats to the ISS until 2016, with return and rescue guarantees on those voyages until 2017.

The Obama administration in his FY2012 and FY2013 budget proposals has requested $850 million and $830 million, respectively. What Congress ultimately approved, however, was far less — $406 million and $489 million, respectively

In a statement on his blog, NASA Administrator Charles Bolden voiced his concerns:

“Because the funding for the President’s plan has been significantly reduced, we now won’t be able to support American launches until 2017. Even this delayed availability will be in question if Congress does not fully support the President’s fiscal year 2014 request for our Commercial Crew Program, forcing us once again to extend our contract with the Russians. Further delays in our Commercial Crew Program and its impact on our human spaceflight program are unacceptable. That’s why we need the full $821 million the President has requested in next year’s budget to keep us on track to meet our 2017 deadline and bring these launches back to the United States.”

If that budgetary request is not granted, it is very likely that NASA — still requiring a means to get astronauts to the ISS — would be forced to extend the contract with Roscosmos once again, beyond 2017, and be obligated to pay even more for a seat aboard a Soyuz.

SpaceX's Dragon spacecraft approaching the ISS

SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft approaching the ISS

To date, there has been great progress with commercial space agencies. SpaceX, for example, which was contracted by NASA to carry out 12 missions to the ISS, has already completed two. However, the lower-than-expected requested funding for the CCP is the main reason why the extension with Roscosmos was required in the first place.

Because we require a three-year lead time from Roscosmos to construct Soyuz spacecraft, NASA has to plan accordingly. If the CCP had been funded at the original requested level — meaning that a commercial space agency would be ready to transport Americans into space — NASA likely would have been ready to end reliance on Soyuz trips in 2015. Instead, underfunded budgets have forced delays in the readiness of the CCP.

Kirk Shireman, NASA’s deputy space station program manager, had this to say to a NASA advisory committee:

“All of our top risks are budgetary now. We’re very worried, from a budget standpoint, about commercial crew and Soyuz. Today, there is no budget for commercial crew and Soyuz. … We don’t want to be in a situation where we can no longer have U.S. crew members on-board ISS because we didn’t buy any more Soyuz and commercial crew isn’t ready.”

Barring any further contract extensions required with Roscosmos, NASA should be able to contract a large majority of its missions to the ISS via American-based commercial space companies, which would enable increased funding to be put towards missions with a scope outside of low-Earth orbit.

Tell Congress that you support fully funding the Commercial Crew Program and that you want to end NASA’s dependence on expensive Soyuz trips: http://www.penny4nasa.org/take-action/

Poll: Americans Overwhelmingly Support Doubling NASA’s Budget, Mission To Mars

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The American public overwhelmingly support a doubling of NASA’s budget in order to fund a mission to Mars, according to a recent survey. The poll, commissioned by Explore Mars, a nonprofit organization, and aerospace contractor Boeing, also demonstrated a high degree of enthusiasm about human exploration of Mars.

Americans overwhelmingly support doubling NASA's budget

Support for doubling NASA’s budget

The survey found that 76 percent of Americans agree that NASA’s budget should be increased to 1 percent of the total federal budget to fund initiatives, including a mission to Mars. Currently NASA’s budget represents less than 0.5 percent of overall federal spending.

Poll respondents said they think a manned mission to Mars should be the country’s top priority in space exploration. The poll also showed that, in spite of the current budgetary climate, Americans remain very optimistic about the prospect of putting humans on Mars within the next two decades, with 71 percent saying they expect it will happen by 2033.

And while NASA does have a goal for a manned mission to Mars by 2033, a recent report by the National Research Council found that NASA lacks the funding and strategic direction needed to achieve their goals. The committee behind the report laid blame on both the executive and legislative branches for failing to establish a clear vision for the future of American space exploration.

NASA has repeatedly argued that they lack the funding necessary to accomplish their many goals and have called on Congress to increase their budget. As NASA Administrator Charles Bolden recently explained to the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, the reason the agency is favoring a manned mission to an asteroid over the moon is because “going to the moon is a factor of three (times) more expensive.” Bolden told the committee bluntly that Congress has not given NASA enough money to return humans to the moon.

With both missions viewed as natural precursors to a manned mission to Mars, many in Congress remain skeptical of the Obama administration’s goal of sending astronauts to an asteroid, instead wanting the drama of manned missions to the moon. Between the politics surrounding NASA’s budget and each presidential administration changing the course of American space exploration, NASA is stuck trying to accomplish both goals on an ever diminishing budget.

This corresponds with what poll respondents reported, saying the biggest barriers to a manned mission to Mars are politics and affordability. Chris Carberry, executive director of Explore Mars, agrees that the greatest obstacle to the goal of putting humans on Mars is the lack of political leadership on the issue, saying, “We hope that this poll can serve a catalyst to reinforce what Americans already support and encourage our nation’s leaders that this is not the time to retreat.”

The poll was conducted by global communications firm Phillips & Company between Feb. 4 and Feb. 6, 2013 surveying a random sample of 1,101 respondents and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Read the full report here:
http://www.exploremars.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Mars-Generation-Survey-full-report-March-7-2013.pdf

White House to Release FY14 Budget April 10

White House Budget
Big news this week for NASA watchers, space advocates and just about everyone else who benefits from the federal budget. Josh Earnest, White House spokesman, told reporters today that President Obama will release his Fiscal Year 2014 budget on April 10th. For background on how the budget process works and why this is extremely important, read our “How NASA is Funded” page.

This bucks history in two ways. First, it’s the only time in history that a president has released his budget after both the House and Senate passed Budget Resolutions. Second, April 10 is significantly later than the usual first week of February when the president usually releases his Budget. The ramifications of the former are hard to predict, since the president’s budget request is usually kept in mind (for better or worse) when either chamber writes the legislative language that then sets the maximum spending levels used in House and Senate Appropriations Committees. Admittedly, with the sequester and continuing resolution occupying most of the attention, this is understandable.

We’ll be continuously updating on all social media fronts, and will be tweaking language in our PopVox tool to reflect these changes. You can (and are encouraged to) use our “Take Action” widget often; there is no limit to the amount of times you can contact your Member of Congress.     
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